Sports gambling can be very profitable if you know the strategies the particular “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a perfect case in point. My spouse and i analyzed this West Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the edge in the game. However , I also recognized that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This video game has all the signs of being one associated with the most effective games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming back from staying down major in the 4th 1 fourth to winning in overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
If this sport were getting played on some sort of basic field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.
These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, the included benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like substantially, but in a shut match-up this way, that excess point can make the change between a good push and even a loss.
But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home video games.
And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since 12 , 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. some points per game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points every game in home. In case anyone did not do the figures, that means due to the fact their last home damage they already have averaged beating their very own competitors by simply about thirty four things per game.
What’s more outstanding, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by simply 13 details per activity at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s just how…
Most of those stats were being developed during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already had recent games that has they have already only scored 36, 3, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. เว็บบาคาร่าอันดับ1 had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
In essence that will this is still some sort of close game to get in touch with. Nonetheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation is usually to lay off that game and certainly not wager at all. There are better video games this quick with more simple strengths.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can can still win soon after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this specific game, people severe concerning gambling saved money that they can put to better make use of on future games.